tough losses

Tough losses. Some of these seats Republicans can get back in the mid-west and west like the former Delay seat, the Ryun seat, and Pombo seat but in the northeast (NH, CT, PA, NY) it will be very tough. For example, the Republicans lost New York, District 2 seat when Rick Lazio ran for the Senate in 2000 and they have never mounted a credible challeng for it. In District 1, Tim Bishop won it narrowly in 2000 after some real gaffes by his opponent and once again it has been smooth sailing for him. Unfortunately, Democrats will have a majority for at least a few cycles unless the Republicans have another wave or strong Presidential contender in '08 (which I blogged previously I don't see) with coattails.

Arizona's 5th: Harry Mitchell (D) 51 percent, J.D. Hayworth (R) 46 percent
California's 11th: Jerry McNerney (D) 53 percent, Richard Pombo (R) 47 percent
Connecticut's 5th: Chris Murphy (D) 56 percent, Nancy Johnson (R) 44 percent
Florida's 22nd: Ron Klein (D) 51 percent, Clay Shaw (R) 47 percent
Indiana's 2nd: Joe Donnelly (D) 54 percent, Chris Chocola (R) 46 percent
Indiana's 8th: Brad Ellsworth (D) 61 percent, John Hostettler (R) 39 percent
Indiana's 9th: Baron Hill (D) 49 percent, Mike Sodrel (R) 46 percent
Iowa's 2nd: Dave Loebsack (D) 51 percent, Jim Leach (R) 49 percent
Kansas' 2nd: Nancy Boyda (D) 51 percent, Jim Ryun (R) 47 percent
Kentucky's 3rd: John Yarmuth (D) 51 percent, Anne Northup (R) 48 percent
Minnesota's 1st: Tim Walz (D) 53 percent, Gil Gutknecht (R) 47 percent
New Hampshire's 1st: Carol Shea-Porter (D) 51 percent, Jeb Bradley (R) 49 percent
New Hampshire's 2nd: Paul Hodes (D) 53 percent, Charles Bass (R) 45 percent
New York's 19th: John Hall (D) 51 percent, Sue Kelly (R) 49 percent
New York's 20th: Kirsten Gillibrand (D) 53 percent, John Sweeney (R) 47 percent
North Carolina's 11th: Heath Shuler (D) 54 percent, Charles Taylor (R) 46 percent
Pennsylvania's 4th: Jason Altmire (D) 52 percent, Melissa Hart (R) 48 percent
Pennsylvania's 7th: Joe Sestak (D) 56 percent, Curt Weldon (R) 44 percent
Pennsylvania's 10th: Chris Carney (D) 53 percent, Don Sherwood (R) 47 percent
GOP open seats lost:
Arizona's 8th: Gabrielle Giffords (D) 54 percent, Randy Graf (R) 42 percent
Florida's 16th: Tim Mahoney (D) 49 percent, Mark Foley/Joe Negron (R) 48 percent
Colorado's 7th: Ed Perlmutter (D) 55 percent, Rick O'Donnell (R) 42 percent
Iowa's 1st: Bruce Braley (D) 55 percent, Mike Whalen (R) 43 percent
New York's 24th: Michael Arcuri (D) 54 percent, Ray Meier (R) 45 percent
Ohio's 18th: Zack Space (D) 62 percent, Joy Padgett (R) 38 percent
Texas' 22nd: Nick Lampson (D) 52 percent, Shelley Sekula-Gibbs (R) 42 percent
Wisconsin's 8th: Steve Kagen (D) 51 percent, John Gard (R) 49 percent